Sports intelligence agency predicts the Premier League’s final standings as Arsenal backed at just 15% to win the title… while Man United have a slim chance of securing a Champions League spot

The 2023-24 Premier League season has been nothing short of enthralling. 

We’ve had some cracking goals, points deductions and a mouthwatering title race that could go right down to the wire.

On Sunday, there was another twist in the tale as Arsenal put the pressure back on league leaders Liverpool after Mikel Arteta’s side claimed a 3-1 victory against the Merseyside outfit. 

After a recent slump in form, that saw the north London side go on a three match winless run before being knocked out of the FA Cup at home to Jurgen Klopp’s side, their victory yesterday has thrown the title race wide open once again, with the Gunners just two points off Liverpool at the top of the table. 

Man City meanwhile have been quietly going about their business, too, with Pep Guardiola’s side sealing a 3-1 victory against Burnley in midweek to claim their eighth win on the bounce across all competitions to go within three points of Arsenal in third place. 

Things are also getting very tight at the bottom of the table too, with Luton starting to find some form as Everton and Nottingham Forest have both struggled in recent weeks to win matches.

With there being just over three months of the season left to play, we’ve been left scratching our heads at how the league table will look come the end of the campaign. Who will be relegated? Will Man United seal a spot in the Champions League? And who will be crowned champions? 

Well, a sports intelligence agency have predicted how the Premier League table will look at the end of the season and they’ve made some interesting observations, with  Aurel Nazmio posting their predictions on Twitter.

Twenty First Group, a data analytics firm who deliver insights to help sports brands drive success, believe that Manchester City will win jump ahead of both Liverpool and Arsenal to claim their fourth consecutive Premier League title. 

They’ve given Pep Guardiola’s side a 48 per cent chance to win the league, with City currently five points off Liverpool at the top of the Premier League standings. They’ll take on Brentford tonight and will be hoping to make up some of the ground they lost during their dip in form before Christmas. 

Interestingly though, despite having bounced back to form and having beaten the league leaders, Twenty First Group have given the Gunners a 15 per cent chance of winning the league title, while Liverpool have a 36 per cent chance. 

Aston Villa, who currently sit fourth in the table after a fantastic season that has seen them lose only five matches, have a 74 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League. Should they do so, it’ll be the first time in the club’s history that they’ve qualified for the European tournament, despite having won the European Cup back in 1982. 

Currently, Villa are level with City on 46 points, five away from Liverpool, but dissimilarly to the defending champions, Unai Emery’s side have been given a one per cent chance of winning the title. 

One of the most intriguing insights on their predictions though is that Manchester United currently only have a 14 per cent chance of breaking into the top-four this season. 

That perhaps does not come at a surprise, considering the quality of the teams above them in the league and that the Red Devils have endured a pretty torrid season, notably failing to qualify for the knockout stages of the Champions League. 

While United have dropped to sixth in the league standings, having lost nine matches this season, Erik ten Hag has also had a difficult time off the pitch due to discipline issues within his squad. Things haven’t been going too badly for United though in the last few weeks, with the Red Devils going unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions.  

As we move down the table, the analytics agency have given Newcastle an eight per cent chance of sealing a return to the Champions League. They are giving Chelsea barely any chance of making it into the top four this season, with pressure beginning to mount on Mauricio Pochettino after their 4-2 defeat by Wolves this weekend. 

Things are also tense at the bottom of the table. While Luton have not been beaten in their last three matches, notably claiming a 4-0 win against Brighton and a 4-4 draw away to Newcastle in teheir last two outings, Rob Edwards’ side are being backed to finish inside the relegation zone.

Everton, meanwhile, will leapfrog them to safety, according to Twenty First Groups projections, even after the Blues have been hit by a 10 point penalty and a futher charge for breaching profit and sustainability rules this season.  

At the bottom of the table, things are looking bleak for both Burnely and Sheffield United. Neither have won in their last five matches with Vincent Kompany’s side being given an 88 per cent chance of relegation. 

Chris Wilder’s side meanwhile are almost a cert to go down this season, with Twenty First Group giving them a one per cent chance of survival.